Here’s How XRP Can Go from Here to $6.70, $13, and $27

A new technical outlook from crypto analyst EGRAG is turning heads in the XRP community.

He cited key moving average setups that hint at a potential breakout, which could send XRP as high as $27. The chart analysis focuses on past market cycles and a specific moving average cross that has historically separated explosive bull runs from painful bear traps.
The Setup
Specifically, the relationship between the 21-week EMA and the 33-week SMA is at the core of the analysis. According to the chart, previous bull runs for XRP started when the 21 EMA stayed above the 33 SMA. He highlighted this setup with a white circle on the accompanying chart.

Conversely, a red circle forms when the 21 EMA crosses below the 33 SMA. A short rally often follows this, then a full rejection, starting a deeper bear phase. 

This trend, where moving average setups define XRP’s movement, was consistent in the 2017/2018 and 2020/2021 market cycles.

Currently, XRP is approaching another such cross, with the 21 EMA and 33 SMA set to interact around late September 2025. Whether this next cross turns out to be red or white may determine the entire trajectory of XRP’s third major cycle.
Watching for Potential XRP Reaction Based on History
Notably, the chart highlights three distinct XRP cycles. In Cycle 1, XRP surged massively when the bullish white cross occurred. In particular, this setup defined XRP’s legendary 2017 breakout. For most of XRP’s rally from $0.0055 to $3.84, the 21 EMA remained above the 33 SMA.

The breakout run happened in two phases. The first was the initial breakout that reversed a longstanding downtrend, followed by a brief correction before the final leg up for that cycle emerged. XRP delivered an approximately 750x surge by the end of the full cycle.

Meanwhile, Cycle 2, per EGRAG’s chart, featured a red cross and a subsequent rejection that sent XRP back into consolidation. Notably, XRP performed relatively well when the 21 EMA was above the 33 SMA on the weekly time frame. However, it only delivered an 8x return compared to the previous cycle. This relative underperformance was due to the bearish cross of the moving averages.

Cycle 3 is now underway, with the early stages already echoing the beginnings of previous bull phases. In the current cycle, XRP has experienced the initial phase of its multi-year breakout, with its trading range shifting significantly from the $0.50 region to the current $2 range. 

Many are now anticipating further progress, which the next moving average cross may help define. Notably, EGRAG leans more toward the bullish side, pointing out that the bearish cross has only occurred once.
Price Projections: $6.70, $13, or $27
According to EGRAG, if XRP price repeats its previous 1,200% rally, it could soar from its current $2.24 level to nearly $27. A 600% gain from here would place it around $13, while a more modest 300% gain would take it to $6.70.

These projections represent moderate to ambitious outlooks for XRP based on similar historical technical setups. The idea is that if the bullish structure holds, XRP could finally deliver a new peak for XRP after almost eight years.
One Last Leg But With Caution
Meanwhile, the analyst suggests that XRP may have just one final leg up before the main bear market begins. As a result, the next parabolic move could be fast, intense, and short-lived. 

He noted that such a surge could hype up retail sentiment, with many believing there will be no further downtrend. However, he urged caution, warning that fast rallies often lure in emotional buyers at the top, only to trap them for the next long-haul bear season.