World War III Risks in 2026 and Bitcoin’s Likely Response: 4 AIs Speculate

The USA launched a military operation in Venezuela, following which the leader of the South American country, Nicolas Maduro, and his wife were captured and taken to the States. The POTUS keeps insisting on the annexation of Greenland, which caused huge controversy between America and other NATO members. The USA warned Iran of possible military action over its nuclear program, while the Asian nation said it’s ready to retaliate and refuses talks under pressure. And it’s only January…

The looming conflicts across the globe since the start of the year, plus the war between Ukraine and Russia, which has been ongoing since 2022, have sparked fears that World War III might be knocking on the door. We asked four of the most widely used AI-powered chatbots whether such a devastating event could happen this year and how Bitcoin (BTC) might respond.

The Global Landscape Feels Like a ‘Tinderbox’

According to ChatGPT, World War III is unlikely in 2026. At the same time, though, it noted that numerous nations across the globe have confronted each other, meaning additional conflicts (apart from the Russia/Ukraine one) will not come as a surprise.

The chatbot claimed that the chances of a war between NATO and Russia this year, an outcome which can be devastating for the planet and humanity, are below 4%. If the worst-case scenario becomes reality, Bitcoin (BTC) is likely to crash by more than 50% immediately after the news. In the coming weeks, though, ChatGPT expects the asset to recover, especially if banking institutions and fiat currencies are deeply affected.

“Bitcoin could perform well in a world war if banks fail and fiat currencies are restricted, because it allows people to store and move value without relying on the traditional financial system. After an initial panic and sell-off, demand could rise as people seek a censorship-resistant alternative to failing money,” it added.

Google’s Gemini also doubts that a world war can erupt before the end of 2026, albeit noting that the global landscape feels more like a “tinderbox” than at any point in the 21st century.

It estimated that the next big war will most likely include nuclear weapons and major weapon power, which would be shocking and deadly, and most financial assets will be left behind as people will mainly think about their physical survival. Under these conditions, BTC will likely lose its short-term investment appeal, with its usefulness depending entirely on whether the Internet and power infrastructure remain intact.

BTC to Rise Like a Phoenix From the Ashes

Grok, the chatbot integrated within X, is skeptical that World War III can occur this year. The likely scenario for BTC if such a thing happens is a 20-30% dip, followed by accelerated adoption and price revival.

Perplexity argued that the risk of a global war is very low, reminding how the cryptocurrency usually reacts to military conflicts. At first, it is likely to experience a double-digit collapse, while later the interest in it can skyrocket, which might lead to a substantial price rally.

“In a WW3 scenario, BTC may initially crash sharply from risk-off panic selling, but later rise like a phoenix from the ashes as it gains traction as a decentralization hedge against fiat devaluation and global sanctions,” it predicted.

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