Will XRP Hit $1.50? July’s Biggest ETF Inflows Meet Declining Whale Selling

XRP is showing signs of renewed market interest after two potentially supportive developments emerged this week. Spot XRP exchange-traded funds posted their largest daily inflow of July, while Binance whale outflows fell to their lowest level in more than two months.

The combination has renewed discussion over whether XRP could eventually move toward $1.50. However, the target remains highly optimistic. A rise from $1 to $1.50 would represent a 50% increase and would require significantly stronger demand than the market is currently showing.

XRP ETF Demand Reaches July High

Spot XRP ETFs attracted $6.78 million in net inflows on July 16, marking their strongest daily performance of the month.

Bitwise’s XRP ETF led the session with $4.41 million in inflows, while Franklin’s product added $2.38 million. Total assets held by XRP ETFs rose to $997.18 million, placing the category close to the $1 billion mark.

The inflows indicate that regulated XRP investment products continue to attract capital despite weakness in the token’s spot price.

However, one strong day of ETF inflows does not establish a sustained trend. Continued allocations over several sessions would provide stronger evidence that institutional demand is building.

Binance Whale Outflows Fall to Two-Month Low

On-chain data also showed that Binance XRP whale outflows over the previous 30 days declined to 885.1 million XRP, their lowest level in more than two months.

The decline shows that large holders are moving fewer XRP tokens away from Binance. It may indicate that whales are waiting for clearer market direction rather than aggressively repositioning their holdings.

Lower outflows should not automatically be interpreted as accumulation or reduced selling pressure. Exchange movements can fall because large holders are inactive, and the data does not reveal whether whales intend to buy, sell or continue holding.

Can XRP Price Reach $1.50?

The $1.50 target falls within a broader technical range between $1.40 and $1.60 that some market analysts are monitoring.

Before that range becomes relevant, XRP would need to break above the $1.18 to $1.20 resistance area with sustained trading volume. A brief move above resistance followed by a reversal would not confirm a bullish breakout.

Technical analyst Ali Martinez also pointed to a bullish chart pattern forming on XRP’s daily timeframe. According to Martinez, XRP is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, with $1.13 acting as the breakout level. A confirmed move above that price could trigger a 20% rally toward $1.35, bringing the token closer to the broader $1.40–$1.60 resistance zone that many analysts are watching. 

XRP: BREAKOUT AHEAD!?

The monthly chart is flashing a TD Sequential buy signal, while the hourly chart shows $XRP consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle.

A breakout above $1.13 could open the door to a 20% rally toward $1.35. https://t.co/LSkn4NoAWP pic.twitter.com/8LtBFkCSOE

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) July 16, 2026

The scale of the required move also matters. XRP would need to gain 50% from the $1 level to reach $1.50. From a price of approximately $1.08, the required increase would still be nearly 39%.

That makes $1.50 a bullish scenario rather than an immediate price expectation.

What Could Support an XRP Rally?

Continued ETF inflows could provide additional demand, particularly if total assets move decisively above $1 billion. Reduced selling from large holders could also support the market if it is accompanied by stronger spot buying and higher trading volume.

A broader recovery across Bitcoin and the altcoin market would further improve XRP’s chances of clearing resistance. Without those conditions, the current signals may not be strong enough to produce a move toward $1.50.

What Could Invalidate the Setup?

XRP could lose momentum if ETF inflows slow, whales begin transferring large amounts back to exchanges or the wider crypto market turns lower.

A rejection around the $1.18 to $1.20 resistance area would weaken the near-term breakout case. A sustained fall below the $1 support level would place greater pressure on the bullish setup and could expose XRP to further losses.

Should Traders Buy XRP Based on This Setup?

The ETF and whale data provide useful market context, but they do not guarantee that XRP will rise to $1.50.

Readers should not buy XRP solely because ETF inflows increased for one day or whale outflows reached a two-month low. Neither indicator confirms future price direction, and both can change quickly.

A move toward $1.50 would require a confirmed technical breakout, sustained demand and favorable broader market conditions. Traders should consider the downside risks, conduct independent research and avoid treating a speculative price target as a guaranteed outcome.

What’s Next for XRP?

XRP’s next major test remains the $1.18 to $1.20 resistance zone.

A decisive move above that area, supported by stronger volume and continued ETF inflows, could bring the $1.40 to $1.60 range into focus. Until that happens, $1.50 remains a highly optimistic target rather than a confirmed destination.

Also Read: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP Jump After US CPI Data Release